Friday, 6 May 2016

Why Do I Blog ?

Publish date: Tue, 26 Jan 2016, 03:23 PM 


When come to stocks blogging, the first thing that comes to people's mind is pump and dump. If not because for the purpose of pump and dump, why bother to write one article after another ?

I have addressed this issue before. First of all, I would like to reiterate that I don't pump and dump. Please refer to the link below for the reasonings.

http://klse.i3investor.com/blogs/icon8888/88471.jsp 

But today one forum member's query really made me fell off my chair. 




Dear Mr. Onemillioninvestment, I have many things to worry about in life. The last thing in my mind is to get people to praise me in the internet.

However, since this issue has been raised, let me provide the specific reasons why I blog about stocks. 

(1) Simply Because I Can

I have a bit of knowledge about finance, stocks and investing. And my England is ok. And I have a bit of free time. So I write loh. It is a very pleasant activitity. I enjoy it.

(2) The Pleasure of Discovery

Ever wonder how the West can overtake everybody else to emerge as the strongest civilization in the world ? 

In the old time, the sifus kept their expertise as top secrets. This helped them to preserve their commercial advantages. However, the effect to society is negative. For few thousand years, human society stagnated. Modern society only started to exist in the past few hundred years, started from the West.

How did the West manage to do it ?

Several hundred years ago, the West invented a way to advance knowledge. Discoveries and inventions were no more locked up in closets, they were enthusiastically made know to the public. Most researchers didn't get rich, but they gained recognition from their peers and the public.

This practice and culture later evolved into research institutions. In modern universities, if a researcher discovers something, he will not hold back the new knowledge. After going through peer review, the new finding will be published immediately. If you don't do that and somebody else does it before you, your years of research efforts will go to waste. 

If you have been to university before, you will understand what I said.

Did the reasearchers get monetary return out of it ? Maybe a little, but not much. The whole idea is to be the first person to plant the flag there. 

That motivates many brilliant minds to spend time and efforts to explore new frontier of knowledge. This turned out to be a magical recipe. Science and technology bloomed in the West over past few hundred years, and that made them the strongest and wealthiest countries in the world.

By blogging about stocks, I get a little bit of this "plant the flag" kick.

(3) To Promote My Stocks

Certain people claimed they blog with noble intention to help others to make money. Not me. I am never that altruistic.

I blog with the hope that one day the stocks that I write will go up.

That sounds very sinister. Am I stepping on other people's shoulders to advance my interest ?

Not neccessarily. It depends on how you do it.  

First of all, I don't spam. I don't go around and keep repeating the same slogans to try to brainwash others to buy the stocks that I hold. It simply won't work. Investors nowadays are not dumb. 

Secondly, I don't shove things down people's throat. I don't come up with all kind of non sensical things to try to convince others. I don't blatantly lie, mislead or spread rumours. That is low class. It might work once or twice, but very soon people will know what you are doing.

If that is the case, how do I do it ? How do I write my articles to benefit my stocks ?

I DO IT BY PROVIDING INFORMATION.

Take Thong Guan as an example.

On 3 March 2015, I bought the stock at RM2.10.
http://klse.i3investor.com/blogs/icon8888/72307.jsp

On 27 May 2015, the company announced a disastrous set of results due to forex loss and bad debts. I wrote another article to provide details and explanation. 
http://klse.i3investor.com/blogs/icon8888/78449.jsp

On 19 August 2015, the company announced another set of mediocre result. I wrote another article to provide details and explanations. 
http://klse.i3investor.com/blogs/icon8888/81667.jsp

The above three articles did not make the stock to move a single sen up, and it didn't bother me.

On 19 November 2015, Thong Guan announced a sterling set of results and share price spiked the next day. The following was the article I wrote.
http://klse.i3investor.com/blogs/icon8888/86450.jsp 

The above sequence of events is a typical way of how I blog.

I adopt a very patient approach. I systematically feed my readers with information to help them to understand the stocks. Through the series of articles that I wrote over past 9 months, I help many of my readers to develop intimate knowledge about Thong Guan.  

Usually, this is not sufficient. If the profit is not there, the stock won't fly.

HOWEVER, WHEN THE COMPANY TURNS AROUND, ITS SHARE PRICE WILL SHOOT THROUGH THE ROOF.

That is what motivated me to blog - to share knowledge and promote understanding of the stocks.  

Thong Guan was not the only case, other success stories are Gadang, Geshen, etc.

However, not everything works out well. Some of the stocks that I wrote failed to deliver (Johore Tin, GOB, etc).

Even if that is the case, I never twist facts and figures to suit my purpose. In Johore Tin's case, I just sold the stock and walked away. No point trying to defend it. If you don't believe me, please go and fish out those articles and go through them.

4. To Fish For More Information

Usually after I publish my articles, many readers will approach me to provide further information, which will greatly enhance understanding of the stocks. 

For example, after I published JHM, one forum member referred a May 2014 article to me about the company's capital expenditure programme. This in turn lead me to dig out more information about JHM.

As mentioned in one of my earlier article, by sharing information among us, we gain an advantage over non i3 members. This is not a theory, I personally experienced it many times since I joined i3.

5. To Clarify My Thoughts

If you have never blogged before, you don't know what you have missed out. Blogging forces you to put your thoughts down in writing. It will allow you to detect areas of ambiguity that you previosuly didn't know exist.

Take EG Industries as an example. As mentioned in my EG article, my friend told me about EG when it was trading at 60 sen. However, based on the publicly available information I went though then, I couldn't find concrete evidence to justify the bullish outlook told to me. 

However, last week, when I actually sat down to write about it, many details of the group's strategy came out. I grew so comfortable about the stock that I decided to add it to my portfolio, even though it has gone up to more than 90 sen.

EG is not the only case. Almost all the stocks that I wrote about will turn up some unique insights that later on facilitate my decision to buy, hold or sell.  

With all the benefits as mentioned above, are you still puzzled by my blogging activities ? 

Have a nice day.

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